Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal Engenheiro Silvio Henriques Cerveira
Estrela Amadora

Anadia
1 - 3
Estrela Amadora

Lincon Farias de Sousa (94' pen.)
Carlos Sinisterra Angulo (2'), Gaudencio Carvalho (40'), Jose Oliveira Silva Santos (69'), Nader (89'), Henrique Casagrande Oliveira (90+5'), Medina (106'), Joao Oliveira Goncalves (117')
FT
(aet)
Pinho (94'), Pedro Martins Gaio (120+3' og.), Luiz (120+3')
Martins Travassos (11'), Lima (39'), Varela (63'), Kikas (90+2'), Veiga (90+5'), Meixedo (98'), dos Santos Santana (102')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Anadia and Estrela Amadora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anadia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Anadia 0-4 UD Oliveirense
Wednesday, July 24 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Anadia had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Anadia win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%).

Result
AnadiaDrawEstrela Amadora
26.72% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)24.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)48.48% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.02% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.116 0.12)48.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (0.107 0.11)70.7% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Anadia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.42% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (0.102 0.1)20.07% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.163 0.16)52.31% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Anadia 26.72%
    Estrela Amadora 48.48%
    Draw 24.8%
AnadiaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 26.72%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.48%