Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
3 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Correia (9'), Fujimoto (33'), Aguirre de Cespedes (82')
Garcia Gonzalez (56'), Aguirre de Cespedes (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jesus (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Estrela Amadora
56.72% ( -0.49)	24.01% ( 0.34)	19.26% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

-1.1)

52.71% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

-0.95)

74.34% (

0.95)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

-0.59)

18.42% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

-1.01)

49.58% (

1.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-0.47)

41.73% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-0.41)

78.2% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 56.72%

Estrela Amadora 19.26%

Draw 24.01%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.26%