Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 19, 2024 at 4.15pm UK

Estadio da Capital do Movel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Fonte (44')
Paulo (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (80'), Nunes Carvalho Junior (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gaspar (3'), Samu (51')
Oliveira (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (53'), Handel (54')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Os Limianos
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
23.18% ( 1.45)	24.16% ( 0.43)	52.66% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-0.23)

48.89% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01% (

-0.21)

70.99% (

0.22)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

1.25)

35.59% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

1.26)

72.36% (

-1.26)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

-0.79)

18.52% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

-1.35)

49.76% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 23.18%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.66%

Draw 24.15%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.18%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.66%