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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Djurgarden
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Stensson (62')
Danielsson (45+2'), Sabovic (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (58'), Santos (79')
Mendes (13'), Borevkovic (37'), Silva (76'), Andres Ramirez (81'), Samu (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Djurgardens IF and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden
Monday, October 21 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 19 at 4.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
40.34% (0.627 0.63)26.19% (0.070999999999998 0.07)33.47% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.443 -0.44)51.33% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (-0.389 -0.39)73.16% (0.38600000000001 0.39)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.13200000000001 0.13)25.06% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.182 0.18)59.74% (-0.185 -0.18)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.04% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.824 -0.82)64.94% (0.821 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 40.34%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 33.47%
    Draw 26.18%
Djurgardens IFDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.214 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.47%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Guimaraes

Djurgardens IF
8.7%
Draw
34.8%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
56.5%
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