Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Oliveira (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Frimpong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 31 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Moreirense
63.9% ( -0.34)	21.21% ( 0.28)	14.88% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53% (

-1.07)

48.47% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4% (

-0.98)

70.6% (

0.98)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51% (

-0.45)

14.49% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.52% (

-0.87)

42.48% (

0.87)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.28% (

-0.57)

44.72% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.29% (

-0.47)

80.71% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.89%

Moreirense 14.88%

Draw 21.21%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.89%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.88%