Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Martins (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (22'), Pereira (28'), Lima (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, September 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Santa Clara
35.28% ( 0.38)	28.9% ( 0.19)	35.82% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 45.17% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.54% (

-0.62)

61.47% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.66% (

-0.46)

81.34% (

0.47)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.07)

32.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.08)

69.55% (

0.08)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

-0.68)

32.61% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84% (

-0.77)

69.16% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 35.28%

Santa Clara 35.81%

Draw 28.89%

Moreirense	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.28%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.81%