Porto
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Oct 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Moreirense

Porto
2 - 0
Moreirense

Buta (34' og.), Eustaquio (61')
Franco (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins (14'), Tavares (58'), Alan (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Moreirense
Saturday, October 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawMoreirense
73.71% (-0.215 -0.22)16.47% (0.225 0.23)9.82% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.895 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-1.14 -1.14)40.03% (1.134 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (-1.189 -1.19)62.39% (1.184 1.18)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.339 -0.34)9.38% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.42% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)31.58% (0.798 0.8)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-0.792 -0.79)47.83% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-0.589 -0.59)83.11% (0.586 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Porto 73.69%
    Moreirense 9.82%
    Draw 16.47%
PortoDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 12.56% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.39 0.39)
3-0 @ 9.91% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 5.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 73.69%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.47%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 9.82%

How you voted: Porto vs Moreirense

Porto
86.6%
Draw
9.0%
Moreirense
4.5%
67
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Porto
5-0
Moreirense
Wendell (8', 72'), Evanilson (60'), Galeno (69'), Varela (83')

Ramos (34'), Pinto (45'), Aparicio (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 1
Moreirense
1-2
Porto
Frimpong (51')
Manuel Barroso Valtelhas de Aguiar (0'), Ofori (62'), Pinto (76'), Silva (90+5'), Franco (90+8')
Martinez (67'), Wendell (74')
Mario (22'), Galeno (68'), Martinez (72'), Wendell (78'), Otavio (90+8'), Gonzalez (90+5')
Wendell (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Moreirense
0-1
Porto

Jorge (3'), Camara (4'), Silva (12'), Rosic (45+2'), Luis (68'), Vitoria (84'), Galego (90+3')
Vitoria (84')
Evanilson (40')
Uribe (34'), Cardoso (64'), Grujic (71')
Grujic (79')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
5-0
Moreirense
Taremi (34' pen., 71'), Diaz (51', 65'), Pepe (77')
Wendell (52'), Mario (80')

Camara (10'), Paulinho (32'), Silva (83')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 29
Moreirense
1-1
Porto
Ferraresi (37'), Taremi (86' pen.)
Pacheco (45'), Pepe (59'), Vieira (70'), Pasinato (73'), Martins (74'), Uribe (75'), Taremi (81')
> Preview