Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Radomiak Radom
54.78% ( 0.32)	24.75% ( -0.12)	20.47% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93% (

0.25)

54.07% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.51% (

0.21)

75.49% (

-0.21)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

0.23)

19.68% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

0.36)

51.68% (

-0.36)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.81% (

-0.06)

41.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

-0.05)

77.73% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 54.77%

Radomiak Radom 20.47%

Draw 24.74%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.77%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.47%