Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17

Dec 2, 2024 at 6pm UK

Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
1 - 0
Radomiak Radom

Stolarski (21')
Samper (32'), Rudol (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jordao (19'), Kaput (45'), Donis (58'), Luizao (90+1')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, November 22 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motor Lublin in this match.

Result
Motor Lublin	Draw	Radomiak Radom
47.47% ( -0.49)	24.76% ( 0.02)	27.77% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

0.22)

47.67% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

0.21)

69.86% (

-0.2)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.12)

20.13% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.6% (

-0.19)

52.4% (

0.19)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

0.48)

31.13% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.55)

67.45% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Motor Lublin 47.47%

Radomiak Radom 27.77%

Draw 24.75%

Motor Lublin	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.47%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.77%