Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.