Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24

Mar 9, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
1 - 0
Zaglebie Lubin

Bergier (78')
Buric (90+4'), Bergier (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Radwanski (52'), Nowak (90+5'), Wdowiak (90+2')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Katowice
Sunday, March 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, March 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.

Result
Katowice	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
45.26% ( -0.52)	24.41% ( 0.13)	30.32% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 57.83% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

-0.38)

44.71% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

-0.36)

67.08% (

0.36)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-0.37)

19.88% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

-0.6)

52% (

0.6)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

0.07)

27.82% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

0.09)

63.41% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Katowice 45.27%

Zaglebie Lubin 30.32%

Draw 24.41%

Katowice	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.27%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.32%