Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lechia Gdansk win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.