Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20

Feb 9, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 0
Lech Poznan

Bobcek (44')
Bobcek (50'), Tsarenko (65'), V'Yunnik (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (2'), Pereira (40'), Salamon (59'), Murawski (84')
Douglas (14')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions

Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Gdansk
Saturday, February 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Lechia Gdansk	Draw	Lech Poznan
33.05% ( -1.04)	25.63% ( -0.01)	41.33% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

-0.2)

49.05% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-0.18)

71.12% (

0.18)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

-0.74)

28.19% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

-0.95)

63.88% (

0.96)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.45)

23.54% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

0.64)

57.58% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Lechia Gdansk 33.05%

Lech Poznan 41.33%

Draw 25.62%

Lechia Gdansk	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.05%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.33%