Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
1 - 0
Katowice

Romanczuk (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Repka (47')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 Jagiellonia
Sunday, February 23 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-2 Katowice
Monday, February 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Katowice had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Katowice win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKatowice
63.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)20.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)16.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)43.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)66.08% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)40.09% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)76.73% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 63.15%
    Katowice 16.18%
    Draw 20.67%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKatowice
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 63.15%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.18%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 6
Katowice
3-1
Jagiellonia
Blad (2'), Kowalczyk (73'), Repka (90+7')
Kowalczyk (65'), Zreľak (76')
Pululu (18')
Diaby-Fadiga (58')