Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Katowice had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Katowice win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.