Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Backa Topola
42.57% ( -0)	24.88% ( -0)	32.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

0.01)

45.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

0.01)

68.2% (

-0.01)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

21.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.34% (

54.66% (

-0)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.01)

26.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

0.01)

62.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.57%

Backa Topola 32.56%

Draw 24.87%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Backa Topola
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.56%