Conference League
Feb 20, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 8' goal
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 18' yellowcard
  • Enzo Ebosse 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Imaz 70' goal
  • Viktor Radojevic 76' goal
  • goal Marko Lazetic 17'
  • yellowcard Milan Radin 25'
  • yellowcard Petar Stanic 45'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Pejic 72'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Backa Topola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
Backa Topola 1 - 3 Jagiellonia

Backa Topola

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
Backa Topola 1 - 3 Jagiellonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.57% (-0.01)
Draw 24.88% (-0.01)
Backa Topola 32.56% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.29% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.11% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.2% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.07% (-0.01)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 78.43% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.66% (-0.01)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5 73.04% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.96% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.29% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.57%
Draw 24.87%
Backa Topola 32.56%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.87%
Backa Topola
1-2 @ 7.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head

Conference League
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Gradski stadion
  • Prestige Mboungou 28' goal
  • Luka Capan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Imaz 31'
  • goal Afimico Pululu 81'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 88'