Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Backa Topola	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
34.09% ( -0.04)	22.39% ( -0.01)	43.51% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.58% (

0.03)

33.42% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.79% (

0.04)

55.2% (

-0.04)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

-0)

20.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52% (

-0.01)

52.48% (

0.01)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

0.04)

16.07% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.56% (

0.06)

45.44% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Backa Topola 34.09%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.51%

Draw 22.39%

Backa Topola	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.09%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 43.51%