UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage

Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Gradski stadion

Backa Topola
4 - 3
Noah

Stanic (41'), Dakovac (74', 76'), Pantovic (81')
Banjac (63'), Capan (86'), Ilic (90+8'), Radin (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Aias (5', 48'), Ferreira (15')
Cinari (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Backa Topola and FC Noah, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Backa Topola

Last Game: Gent 3-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League

FC Noah

Last Game: Noah 1-3 APOEL
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Backa Topola win with a probability of 54.5%. A win for FC Noah had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Backa Topola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.63%). The likeliest FC Noah win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Backa Topola would win this match.

Result
Backa Topola	Draw	FC Noah
54.5% ( 0.77)	20.99% ( 0.54)	24.51% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 65.13% (

-3.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.05% (

-4.01)

32.94% (

4.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.34% (

-4.76)

54.66% (

4.77)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.72% (

-1.11)

12.28% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.97% (

-2.39)

38.03% (

2.39)

FC Noah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-3.09)

25.75% (

3.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-4.38)

60.69% (

4.39)

Score Analysis

Backa Topola 54.5%

FC Noah 24.51%

Draw 20.99%

Backa Topola	Draw	FC Noah
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.88) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 1.09) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.34) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.27) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.62% Total : 54.5%	1-1 @ 9% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.63) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.99%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.51%