Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Backa Topola win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Backa Topola win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.