Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Backa Topola	Draw	Lugano
27.22% ( -0.02)	23.04% ( -0)	49.74% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.43% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

-0)

40.31% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

-0)

62.69% (

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

-0.02)

27.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.02)

63.28% (

0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59% (

0.01)

16.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94% (

0.02)

46.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Backa Topola 27.22%

Lugano 49.74%

Draw 23.03%

Backa Topola	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.22%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.74%