Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.