Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
3 - 2
Legia

Svarnas (10'), Braut Brunes (32'), Adriano (47')
Carlos (23'), Ivi (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gual (50'), Luquinhas (85')
Urbanski (88'), Pankov (90+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-3 Rakow
Saturday, March 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawLegia Warsaw
45.55% (0.053000000000004 0.05)25.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.97% (0.012 0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.025999999999996 0.03)56.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)33% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.052 -0.05)69.58% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 45.54%
    Legia Warsaw 28.48%
    Draw 25.97%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.54%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.48%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Legia
0-1
Rakow

Feio (21'), Alfarela (31'), Kapustka (69'), Celhaka (88'), Kapuadi (90+4')
Carlos (41')
Papszun (0'), Kuciak (61'), Braut Brunes (90'), Carlos (90'), Berggren (90+4')
Apr 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Rakow
1-1
Legia
Crnac (82')
Drachal (33'), Tudor (48')
Pekhart (17')
Kapustka (45+1'), Kapuadi (90+1')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Legia
1-2
Rakow
Wszolek (45+2')
Pesqueira (5'), Ribeiro (49'), Elitim (52'), Kramer (90+4'), Wszolek (90+6'), Augustyniak (90+8'), Dias (90+11')
Kochergin (26'), Augustyniak (73' og.)
Szwarga (6'), Papanikolaou (49'), Berggren (63'), Racovitan (80'), Cebula (87'), Zwolinski (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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