Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
Rakow

Lech Poznan
0 - 1
Rakow

Ishak (25')
Murawski (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Braut Brunes (37'), Svarnas (45+1')
Svarnas (47'), Tudor (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Katowice
Saturday, February 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
43.81% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)26.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.012 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.31% (0.012 0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66%32.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.85% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 43.81%
    Rakow Czestochowa 29.87%
    Draw 26.31%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Rakow

Lech Poznan
100%
Draw
0.0%
Rakow Czestochowa
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Rakow
0-0
Lech Poznan
Otieno (44'), Svarnas (90+4')
Milic (90+10')
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rakow
4-0
Lech Poznan
Nowak (14'), Berggren (25', 36'), Mrozek (69' og.)
Svarnas (8'), Drachal (21'), Crnac (29')

Gurgul (5'), Marchwinski (40')
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Lech Poznan
4-1
Rakow
Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!