Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.