UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 2
Legia

(Legia Warsaw win 4-3 on aggregate)

Hestad (11'), Eriksen (17'), Gulbrandsen (43')
Stenevik (14')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Chodyna (64'), Luquinhas (67')
Ziolkowski (50'), Luquinhas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Molde and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Molde (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Legia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, March 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Legia Warsaw
57.8% ( 0.01)	21.46%	20.74% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

-0)

39.88% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76%

62.24% (

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

0.01)

13.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

0.01)

40.69% (

-0.01)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.01)

32.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

-0.01)

69.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Molde 57.8%

Legia Warsaw 20.74%

Draw 21.46%

Molde	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 57.8%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.74%