Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.