Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.