Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 4
New Saints

Snaith (36')
FT(HT: 1-3)
McManus (31', 45+2'), Baker (31'), Smith (66')
Baker (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Barry
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 New Saints
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawThe New Saints
19.27% (0.02 0.02)19.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)61.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 62.73% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)32.67% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.65% (-0.07 -0.07)54.35% (0.064 0.06)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)29.98% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)66.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)10.39% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)33.93% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 19.27%
    The New Saints 61.22%
    Draw 19.5%
Barry Town UnitedDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 3.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 2.26% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 19.27%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.5%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 61.22%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
4-0
Barry
Williams (25', 85'), Wilson (53'), Clark (84')

M (90')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Barry
2-6
New Saints
Hulbert (62', 90+3')
Veale (26'), George (66')
Young (20', 73', 87'), Davies (66'), Daniels (83'), Greening (86' og.)
Redmond (52')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-2
Barry
Roscrow (55'), Williams (81')
Hulbert (85'), McLaggon (90+6')
McLaggon (43'), Lewis (64')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Barry
1-2
New Saints
Wharton (70')
McLaggon (41'), Press (51')
Redmond (4'), Williams (63')
Astles (25')
Sep 18, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
3-1
Barry
Williams (19'), Baker (50'), McManus (90+4')
Baker (25'), Davies (32'), McManus (37'), Williams (88')
Abbruzzese (29')
Kavanagh (35')