Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.