Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.