Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.