Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (76')
Ealing (7'), Walsh (60'), Davies (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mwandwe (66')
Mwandwe (54'), Hughes (56'), Nash (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
17.9% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)20.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)61.81% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.05% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16% (0.102 0.1)38.83% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85% (0.107 0.11)61.14% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (0.023999999999997 0.02)71.85% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.048000000000002 0.05)12.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (0.106 0.11)37.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 17.9%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 61.81%
    Draw 20.29%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 17.9%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.69% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 61.81%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')