MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 17:42:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 1
Aberystwyth

Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-0 Pontypridd
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
47.23% (0.125 0.13) 24.18% (-0.401 -0.4) 28.59% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 57.52% (1.547 1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (1.948 1.95)44.63% (-1.949 -1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (1.856 1.86)67% (-1.857 -1.86)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.827 0.83)19.03% (-0.828 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (1.356 1.36)50.6% (-1.357 -1.36)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (1.198 1.2)28.97% (-1.199 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (1.459 1.46)64.86% (-1.46 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 47.23%
    Aberystwyth Town 28.59%
    Draw 24.18%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.538 -0.54)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.191 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.203 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.349 -0.35)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.59%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
rhs 2.0
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