MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 09:14:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
1 - 3
Newtown

Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 5-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
26.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 49.5% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)44.42% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)66.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)30.27% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)66.44% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 26.67%
    Newtown AFC 49.5%
    Draw 23.83%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 49.5%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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