Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Evan Cadwallader 19'
Sam Jones 70'
Sam Jones 90'+4'

Dominic Smith 14'
Aaron Williams 20'
Callum Roberts 52'
Shane Sutton 90'

Cardiff MU vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm

Cardiff MU 0 - 5 New Saints

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Eliot Evans

Newtown AFC

All competitions

W
D
D
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
D
D
L
W
L

Last game

Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm

Newtown 5 - 0 Caernarfon

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result

Cardiff MU 26.67% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 23.84% ▲ (+0.01)

Newtown AFC 49.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

57.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 2.5 44.42% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 33.2% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 3.5 66.79% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 16.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 4.5 83.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 69.73% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 30.27% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 33.56% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 66.44% ▲ (+0.07)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 81.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 18.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 51.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 48.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 26.67%

Draw 23.83%

Newtown AFC 49.5%

Cardiff MU

2-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 3.9%

3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.07%

Total : 26.67%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 23.83%

Newtown AFC

1-2 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)

2-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.58%

Total : 49.5%

Head to Head

Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Louis Robles 15'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 35'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 49'
Dominic Smith 74'
Rob Evans 79'

Matt Clubb 14'
Finn Skiverton 31'
Evan Cadwallader 42'

Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Chris Craven 22'
Matt Clubb 50'
H 90'+1'

Ryan Sears 43'
Dominic Smith 45'+2'
Aaron Williams 53'
Callum Roberts 89'
George Hughes 90'+7'

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Ryan Sears 17'
Aaron Williams 31'
Henry Cowans 84'
Callum Roberts 89'

Chris Craven 42'
Matt Clubb 88'
Kyle McCarthy 90'+3'

Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Matthew Jones 49'

Sam Jones 54'
Eliot Evans 80'

Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Eliot Evans 2'
Callum Roberts 72'

Matt Chubb 20' (OG)

Form Data

Cardiff MU 0 - 5 New Saints

Cardiff MU 0 - 3 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 0 - 1 Bala Town

Newtown 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

New Saints 4 - 0 Cardiff MU

Newtown 5 - 0 Caernarfon

Bala Town 1 - 1 Newtown

Connah's Quay 0 - 0 Newtown

Newtown 0 - 1 New Saints

Newtown 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown