Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2024 at 12.20pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 5
Pen-y-Bont


Wycherley (13'), Roberts (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kircough (6', 63'), Venables (18', 33'), Little (73')
Reffell (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Haverfordwest
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
23.28% (-0.115 -0.11)23.07% (0.109 0.11)53.64% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (-0.611 -0.61)44.13% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (-0.597 -0.6)66.51% (0.596 0.6)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)32.87% (0.435 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.486 -0.49)69.44% (0.485 0.48)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (-0.217 -0.22)16.4% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.94% (-0.395 -0.4)46.06% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 23.28%
    Pen-y-Bont 53.64%
    Draw 23.07%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.28%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.31% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.64%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Venables (71')
Kircough (63'), Harling (73'), Evans (90+4')
Smith (49')
Evans (21'), Wycherley (33'), Cowans (66')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
0-1
Pen-y-Bont
Owen (59')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')