Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.