Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.