Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.