Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.