Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8

Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 3
Haverfordwest

Ealing (15'), Arnison (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watts (52'), Ahmun (58'), Bradford (70' og.)

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
28.24% ( -0.06)	26.05% ( -0.12)	45.71% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

0.43)

52.73% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

0.37)

74.36% (

-0.37)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

0.18)

33.42% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

0.2)

70.05% (

-0.2)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

0.27)

23.02% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

0.4)

56.83% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 28.24%

Haverfordwest County 45.7%

Draw 26.05%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.7%