Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 3 0

FT Maes Tegid

Aeron Edwards 22'
Hussein Mehasseb 27'
Nathan Burke 38'
Nathan Burke 73'
Alex Darlington 74'

Harry Arnison 51'
Jonathan Evans 64'
Alex Darlington 78'

Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

L
L
D
W
W
D

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
W
W
D

Last game

Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm

Bala Town 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Joe Malkin

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
L
W
D
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
W
D
L

Last game

Sep 7, 2024 5.15pm

Aberystwyth 0 - 2 Flint Town

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result

Bala Town 69.41% ▼ (-1.42)

Draw 18.87% ▲ (+0.93)

Aberystwyth Town 11.72% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score:

45.89% ▼ (-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.45% ▼ (-2.85)

Under 2.5 45.55% ▲ (+2.85)

Over 3.5 32.12% ▼ (-2.77)

Under 3.5 67.88% ▲ (+2.77)

Over 4.5 16.16% ▼ (-2.03)

Under 4.5 83.84% ▲ (+2.03)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 88.02% ▼ (-1.18)

Under 0.5 11.98% ▲ (+1.18)

Over 1.5 62.61% ▼ (-2.56)

Under 1.5 37.39% ▲ (+2.57)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 52.13% ▼ (-0.96)

Under 0.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.97)

Over 1.5 16.87% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 1.5 83.13% ▲ (+0.72)

Score analysis

Bala Town 69.39%

Draw 18.87%

Aberystwyth Town 11.72%

Bala Town

2-0 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.37)

1-0 @ 12.16% ▲ (+0.90)

2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.18)

3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.32)

4-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.34)

4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.36)

3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.19)

5-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.25)

5-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.24)

4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.17)

Other @ 3.18%

Total : 69.39%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.43)

0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.67)

2-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.10)

Other @ 0.67%

Total : 18.87%

Aberystwyth Town

0-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.40)

1-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.08)

0-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 2.64%

Total : 11.72%

Head to Head

Nov 17, 2023 8.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 2

FT Park Avenue Ground

Steffan Davies 27'
Iwan Lewis 44'
Iwan Lewis 45'+2'
Jack Thorn 61'
Iwan Lewis 77'
Ben Woollam 78'
Luca Hogan 88'

<TBD> 37'
Joshua Ukek 37'
George Newell 72'
Joshua Ukek 90'+5'
Oliver Shannon 90'+9'

Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Maes Tegid

Nathan Peate 56'
Iwan Roberts 74'
Iwan Roberts 90'+1'

John Owen 30'
Iwan Lewis 33'
Alex Darlington 38'
Steffan Davies 82'
Liam Walsh 85'
John Owen 89'

Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Maes Tegid

Chris Venables 20'
Nathan Peate 34'
Jonathan Evans 52'

Sep 2, 2022 8.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 1

FT Park Avenue Ground

Jack Rimmer 75'
Jonathan Evans 85'
Louis Bradford 88'
Jonathan Evans 90'+2'

Chris Venables 2'
Kieran Smith 22'
Nathan Peate 57'
Jack Rimmer 68' (OG)
Alex Ramsey 71'
Dave Edwards 76'
Nathan Peate 84'

Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Will Evans 59'
Sean Smith 65'
Nathan Peate 69'
Antony Kay 85'
Oliver Shannon 90'

Jack Thorn 72'
Owain Jones 86'
Jamie Veale 90'+4'

Aug 31, 2021 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jamie Veale 57'
Sam Phillips 67'

Alex Darlington 27' (OG)
Kieran Smith 34'

Form Data

Bala Town 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Bala Town 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 0 - 0 Bala Town

Bala Town 2 - 0 Flint Town

Bala Town 2 - 0 Briton Ferry

Barry 1 - 1 Bala Town

Aberystwyth 0 - 2 Flint Town

New Saints 2 - 0 Aberystwyth

Pen-y-Bont 5 - 1 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 0 Barry

Aberystwyth 1 - 1 Connah's Quay

Newtown 4 - 1 Aberystwyth