Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.