Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 2
Flint Town


Ealing (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reeves (35', 51')
Burke (25'), Hughes (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-2 Flint Town
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
34.69% (0.732 0.73)24.96% (0.24 0.24)40.35% (-0.97300000000001 -0.97)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.666 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.941 -0.94)45.71% (0.941 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.901 -0.9)68.03% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)25.58% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)60.46% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.877 -0.88)22.56% (0.876 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-1.323 -1.32)56.15% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 34.69%
    Flint Town United 40.35%
    Draw 24.95%
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.103 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.69%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.35%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
1-0
Flint Town
Evans (90+3')
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Flint Town
1-1
Aberystwyth
H (72')
Evans (37')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
2-1
Flint Town
Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Hughes (81')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Flint Town
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jones (90+4')
Phillips (88')

Veale (37'), Franklin (61'), Zabret (78'), Jones (90+3'), Phillips (90+3')