Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
5 - 1
Aberystwyth

Davies (13'), Borge (42'), Pritchard (61'), Walsh (83' og.), Venables (87')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Torry (32')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Barry
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
60.94% ( 0.04)	22.28% ( 0.06)	16.78% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51% (

-0.41)

49.49% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

-0.37)

71.52% (

0.37)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

-0.13)

15.78% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.08% (

-0.23)

44.92% (

0.23)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2% (

-0.37)

42.8% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88% (

-0.32)

79.12% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 60.93%

Aberystwyth Town 16.78%

Draw 22.28%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 60.93%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.28%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.78%