Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.