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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Lloyd (18')
Newell (31'), Reffell (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crole (51'), Green (66')
Pritchard (29'), Borge (32'), Crole (84'), Crole (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-0 Bala Town
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Aberystwyth
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
40.61% (0.192 0.19)27.68% (0.067999999999998 0.07)31.72% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.28 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (-0.316 -0.32)57.59% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.25 -0.25)78.37% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)27.82% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.41% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.349 -0.35)33.4% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.385 -0.38)70.02% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 40.6%
    Pen-y-Bont 31.71%
    Draw 27.67%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.71%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Bala Town

Little (25'), MacDonald (39'), Davies (52'), Evans (90+1')
Mendes (4'), Edwards (12')
Shannon (39')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Newell (17'), Arsan (25')
Arsan (65')
Davies (58')
MacDonald (26'), Little (37'), Yorwerth (53'), Harling (81')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
2-2
Bala Town
Clutton (4'), Owen (88')
Nalatche Mendes (61')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bala Town
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bala Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Wall (62')
Georgievsky (11')