UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage

Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

New Saints
2 - 0
Astana

Holden (40'), McManus (78' pen.)
Harrison (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between The New Saints and Astana.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: New Saints 5-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Astana

All competitions

Last Game: Astana 1-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	New Saints	29	2.90	Bradley
2	Pen-y-Bont	23	1.77	Pritchard
3	Caernarfon	21	1.62	Clarke
4	Barry	19	1.46	Hulbert
5	Newtown	19	1.46	Williams
6	Bala Town	18	1.38	Downes
7	Cardiff MU	18	1.38	Reynolds
8	Flint Town	15	1.15	Reeves
9	Haverfordwest	15	1.15	Ahmun
10	Connah's Quay	14	1.17	Hughes
11	Briton Ferry	10	0.91	Jenkins
12	Aberystwyth	9	0.69	Evans

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Astana had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Astana
67.94% ( -2.63)	18.65% ( 1.23)	13.41% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.66% (

-2.23)

40.34% (

2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.28% (

-2.34)

62.71% (

2.33)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11% (

-1.26)

10.89% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.97% (

-2.86)

35.03% (

2.86)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

0.76)

41.81% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

0.65)

78.27% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 67.94%

Astana 13.41%

Draw 18.65%

The New Saints	Draw	Astana
2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.36) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.94%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.41%