Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 78.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.