Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Panevezys win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.