UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Astana Arena

Astana
6 - 1
Corvinul Hunedoara

(Astana win 8-2 on aggregate)

Chinedu (13', 68'), Tomasov (57', 76'), Gripshi (73'), Astanov (84')
Kazukolovas (50'), Bartolec (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Velisar (78')
Bradu (40'), Alexandru Neacsa (60'), Lupu (77')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Corvinul Hunedoara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 1-2 Astana
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Corvinul Hunedoara

Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 1-2 Astana
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Corvinul Hunedoara had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Corvinul Hunedoara win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Astana would win this match.

Result
Astana	Draw	Corvinul Hunedoara
59.23% ( 0.12)	22.29% ( -0.04)	18.47% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

0.04)

46.88% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

0.04)

69.13% (

-0.05)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

0.06)

15.46% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.67% (

0.1)

44.32% (

-0.1)

Corvinul Hunedoara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

-0.07)

39.23% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

-0.06)

75.94% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Astana 59.22%

Corvinul Hunedoara 18.47%

Draw 22.29%

Astana	Draw	Corvinul Hunedoara
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.22%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.47%