Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Astana had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an Astana win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.