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UEFA Conference League

Astana
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Astana Arena

Astana
1 - 2
Plzen

Tomasov (51')
Haroyan (40'), Kuat (45+1'), Marochkin (58'), Hovhannisyan (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chory (54'), Kopic (56')
Durosinmi (60'), Sulc (66'), Chory (79')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Astana and Viktoria Plzen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

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Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 5-1 Astana
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Viktoria Plzen

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Plzen
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AstanaDrawViktoria Plzen
45.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.44%29.92%
Both teams to score 57.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96%45.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61%67.38%
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05%51.95%
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Astana 45.64%
    Viktoria Plzen 29.92%
    Draw 24.44%
AstanaDrawViktoria Plzen
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Astana vs Plzen

Astana
6.3%
Draw
34.4%
Viktoria Plzen
59.4%
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