Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gzira United had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Gzira United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.