Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a F91 Dudelange win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Gzira United had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a F91 Dudelange win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Gzira United win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that F91 Dudelange would win this match.